Labels

2012 3D abortion afghanistan africa aging agriculture al qaeda amazon apple architecture art asia att awesome banks barack obama biology birthers bonds books britain bruce bartlett budget business cars catholicism charlie cook china chris christie cisco civil war climate change clive crook conf' conf'lict conflict conservatives contactless payments cooking cuba culture david brooks david frum debt deficit democrats design disaster disney donald trump drug policy economics education egypt employment entertainment entreprenuers europe extremism facebook family values finance firefox food fox news france games gay rights george w bush george will germany gold google government groupon haley barbour healthcare herman cain hispanics history housing immigration independents india innovation insurance internet iphone iran iraq ireland islam israel ivory coast japan jim demint jobs joe klein john huntsman journalism kentucky korea laptops law libertarianism libya literature manufacturing marriage equality matt yglesias media medicaid medicare medicine michelle bachmann microsoft middle east mike huckabee military mitch daniels mitt romney mobile communications movies music nate silver national review nature nazis netflix nevada new york times news newspapers newt gingrich nokia north korea obama oil pakistan palin paul krugman paul ryan pensions pharmaceuticals phones photography politics politics 2012 the gop politics 2012 the gop  newt gingrich polls race rand paul red sox reihan salam religion rick perry rick santorum ron paul rush limbaugh russia samsung sarah palin saudi arabia science scott walker seth godin silicon valley skype social media social security socialism sports stocks syria tablets taxes tea party technology teenagers terrorism the constitution the fed the gop the supreme court the un tim pawlenty tom friedman torture trains turkey tv unemployment unions us economy verizon wal mart wall street wall street journal wikileaks wisconsin yemen

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Only politics is preventing a solution to the eurocrisis. Uh-oh. - Dan Drezner

http://drezner.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/11/28/only_politics_is_preventing_a_solution_to_the_eurocrisis_uh_oh

Furthermore, looking at the Franco-German crisis bargaining, any actual deal to bolster EFSF resources, empower the ECB, and/or create something approximating a fiscal union would require that Southern Europe agree to remake their domestic economies to more closely resemble the German model.  This has always been Merkel's bargain:  she's been willing to cede greater power to the EU provided that EU policy preferences looks more like Germany.  This makes sense for Germany, but the kind of wrenching changes and adjustments that will be asked of Spain and Italy are massive.  The fact that Berlin -- rather than Brussels -- is the source of this diktat will add a fun new level of political difficulties as well. 

Drezner's point being that the correct policies are clear to the policymakers. At the same time the correct policies are impossible to pursue, because of domestic politics and cultural mores. Hence a crisis develops that will only avert when the possible dangers outweigh the risks of internal/domestic politics.

No comments:

Post a Comment